The Future of the Web and the World
Gerri Sinclair
Lucy Bernholz
John Thackara
Mod Jesse Brown
Gerri Sinclair on the Future, trends.
Moore's Law + Network effect > change amplified
Trends:
Recombinant innovation – knowledge recombined, mashed up
Beyond eLearning – lectures and slides uploaded, Open University. New models of collaboration – wikis. e.g. www.khanacademy.org
Demise of the professional - growth of the professional amateur
Openness ubiquitious - Open Source; Open Data
Mathematician as rockstar breakthrough in mathematics, data deluge; consumer as data.
Transparency vs. privacy. Loss of privacy, but new accountability. Wikileaks- US Army. Classified data leaked in searchable format.
Threats/ benefits of the cloud. Gmail, Facebook,
Big Brother is watching you. Japan/Korea. Wireless sensors+robotics
Evolution of the Web - 3d immersification
Gameification of media – Education, Health, Fitness. Digital media becoming fundamental currency of eduction. Game engines, tourism, health, environment.
Reality continuum – hybrid reality (SMS/homework); AR; continuous partial attention; Book Exodus to the Virtual World
Online Demographics. Silent Gen. /Boomers/Gen X/ Gen Y/ Gen V (Avatars- relationships will be primarily digital). Penguin Club. Cartoon Doll Emporium.
Multiple identities – Who am I?
Lucy Bernholz:
Technology having effects on how people do good.
Most ideas from her talk found in paper – Disrupting Philanthropy.
Data will be platform for change.
e.g. Action supporting Haiti earthquake relief by cell phone or computer. #crisiscamp
> went global – Ottawa London Bogata; no institutional support. Peoplefinder app for tagged photos of missing relatives. Creole > English tweet translator.
“Data is anything that can be digitized.”
Grandma biggest fan of iPad.
Phone gives proximity to data and expertise, gives value to organizations.
Fundamental upset to the role of the institution.
Governance is a problem for groups like Crisis Commons. Not an official nonprofit.
Laws will need to change.
A revolution in where social goods come from and how they change.
New roles for public, private, independent sector.
“We have a very new meaning of place.”
New defintions of scale – can be small and global at the same time.
John Thackara:
I don't want to be led by technology. It's a means for us to do things.
What needs to be fixed and how do we do it?
Doomsday economy: Actions described as positive for economy, direct consequences for
biosphere. Pretty serious.
Alternative solidarity economy: In some places, people are reorganizing their daily lives for reduced impact on environment.
The hours spent looking after others are ways of creating social good, just not yet described yet as economic activity. A very European point of view. More people have access to mobile phones than clean water in the world. Depraved: replacing care by people with care by machines.
You can't grow food with an iPhone.
You shouldn't look after an elderly person with an iPhone.
Brown/Bernholz interlude: OLPC > tablets, netbooks, drove price of tech down.
myc4.org >> micropayments to Africa – you control over investment vs. loan, set your own interest rate.
Panel – a sharing economy will be a huge part of sustainability
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